Home Investing Earnings Hindalco backed Novelis reported a 27% decline in net income to $156 million in Q4. Here’s why

Hindalco backed Novelis reported a 27% decline in net income to $156 million in Q4. Here’s why

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Hindalco backed Novelis reported a 27% decline in net income to $156 million in Q4. Here’s why

Hindalco-backed Novelis reported a net income of $156 million for the fourth quarter of FY23 that was attributable to common shareholders. This figure represents a decline of 27% year over year. In addition, adjusted EBITDA and net sales both saw year-over-year decreases of 6% and 9%, respectively, as compared to the prior year. The overall performance of the company is consistent with what was anticipated. In spite of Novelis’ financial success, Hindalco remains a strong contender in the metals industry.

Novelis was an industry pioneer in aluminium recycling and is recognised as one of the world’s leading producers of ecologically responsible aluminium solutions.

Novelis reported a net income of $156 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 23 (Q4FY23), which was 27% lower than the same period in the previous year. This decrease was largely attributable to lower adjusted EBITDA, as well as advertising and a favourable metal price lag in the prior year that did not reappear.

Also, the annualised net income from continuing activities came in at $175 million, a decline of 7% compared to the previous year. Special items were excluded from this calculation.
In addition, Novelis reported an adjusted EBITDA of $403 million, which is a 6% decrease from the previous year. This decline was brought on by less favourable metal benefits from recycling, higher energy costs and other cost inflation, and lower volume, which were somewhat offset by better product pricing and a favourable product mix.

Net revenues for the fourth quarter declined 9% year over year to $4.4 billion as a consequence of lower average aluminium prices and a 5% reduction in total shipments of flat-rolled goods to 936 kilotons. This partially offsets better product pricing and a favourable product mix.

According to the financial statement, the decrease in shipments is primarily attributable to decreased beverage can shipments caused by short-term headwinds, especially client inventory reduction initiatives, as well as macroeconomic effects on specialty products, primarily in the building and construction industry. Additionally, the statement states that the decline in shipments is primarily attributable to macroeconomic effects.

Increased aircraft sales and record automotive shipments, both of which were the result of OEMs increasing production rates in response to pent-up demand, significantly offset these declines.

The president and chief executive officer of Novelis Inc., Steve Fisher, made the following statement: “Novelis continues to deliver solid performance in a challenging environment, enabled by our diversified product mix, operational efficiencies, and financial discipline.”

In FY23, the exports were 3,790 kilo tonnes, which is a 2% decline year over year.

The year-over-year reduction in net income was 31%, coming in at $658 million. a decrease of 11% year over year in adjusted EBITDA, totaling $1.8 billion.

The net sales for the fiscal year 2023 increased by 8%, coming in at $18.5 billion.

Dev Ahuja, executive vice president and chief financial officer of Novelis, added that “even though near-term challenges continue to muffle our results, we have shown that our business is resilient.” According to Ahuja, “we have demonstrated that our business is resilient, with fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA per tonne improving significantly on a sequential basis when compared to the third quarter and very strong free cash flow generation even as we increase capital investments for future growth.”

According to Ahuja, Novelis is in a good position to weather the current problems in the market and will maintain its stringent approach to properly managing cash as the company moves into the next phase of its transformational evolution. Moreover, Novelis is well-positioned to take advantage of any opportunities that may arise as a result of these issues.

Fisher stated, “While macroeconomic challenges are dampening near-term performance, we think these are temporary and that the long-term market outlook for our industry is positive.” Fisher was referring to the optimistic prognosis for the long-term market outlook. We are committed to our revolutionary organic growth strategy, which aims to improve our position as a top global supplier of low-carbon, sustainable aluminium solutions by capitalising on our leading position in the market and our robust financial sheet.

Hindalco is one of the firms that Novelis counts as its parent. The closing price of a unit of Hindalco stock on the BSE was $436.25, representing a decrease of 0.93% from the previous day.

On Novelis Q4 results, Tushar Chaudhari – Research Analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher said, “Novelis reported 4QFY23 adjusted EBITDA of USD431/t (up 15% QoQ; -1% YoY); largely in-line with the guidance given earlier. FRP Volumes declined 5% YoY (up 3% QoQ) to 936kt while average realization declined 4% YoY (up 2% QoQ) to USD4,698/t.”

He said management expects volumes to remain soft in 1HFY24 led by destocking in beverage packaging and weakness in cyclical end markets. Automotive segment demand remains strong led by easing supply chain issues and pent-up demand while Aerospace demand also remains strong due to strong growth in aircraft build rates.

Following this, Chaudhari said that Hindalco remains one of the preferred plays in metal space. However, he did not recommend any buy or sell but said that the stock is trading at an attractive valuation.

The analyst said, “HNDL remains one of our preferred play in metals space given a) Novelis performance is expected to improve gradually; b) improving trajectory for India aluminum business given subsided cost inflation YoY and improving volumes from high-value downstream businesses; c) enhanced resource securitization in long term and significant correction in coal prices to benefit in near term. At CMP the stock is trading at attractive valuations of ~5.4x EV of FY24E EBITDA.”

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